On To Florence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 13
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2025-07-13 | Won |
| 1012 | 905 | 65% | 2008-12-11 | Won |
| 1079 | 1190 | 35% | 2007-02-22 | Won |
| 1159 | 1145 | 52% | 2006-11-28 | Won |
| 1034 | 1020 | 52% | 2006-09-20 | Won |
| 1137 | 1035 | 64% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1342 | 1002 | 88% | 2005-06-25 | Won |
| 1154 | 998 | 71% | 2005-06-11 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1101 | 57% | 2005-05-01 | Won |
| 993 | 1216 | 22% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 979 | 61% | 2005-04-25 | Tied |
| 1056 | 1019 | 55% | 2005-04-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-02-16 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1042.7 has a 54.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).