Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1014 | 53% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 961 | 61% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1116 | 42% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1014 | 999 | 52% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1103 | 51% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 974 | 989 | 48% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 993 | 59% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 1022 | 1120 | 36% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1003 | 43% | 2005-02-27 | Won |
| 1153 | 1054 | 64% | 2004-06-22 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1115 | 48% | 2004-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1031.5 has a 49.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).