Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (9 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 22
Defender wins (French): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1030 | 41% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1062 | 1071 | 49% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 1017 | 955 | 59% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 1063 | 45% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 889 | 1052 | 28% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
| 870 | 987 | 34% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1109 | 55% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1039 | 52% | 2003-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1003.5 vs 1038.3 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).