The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (21 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 58
Defender wins (German): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1044 | 1024 | 53% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
953 | 960 | 49% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
1012 | 1105 | 37% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
917 | 982 | 41% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
874 | 879 | 49% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
890 | 1028 | 31% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
1087 | 868 | 78% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
963 | 1087 | 33% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
1327 | 1026 | 85% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
1052 | 1307 | 19% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
1062 | 993 | 60% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
1013 | 905 | 65% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
1327 | 1203 | 67% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
1289 | 1030 | 82% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
976 | 994 | 47% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1024.7 has a 53.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).