The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (29 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 66
Defender wins (German): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1091 | 35% | 2026-03-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1016 | 58% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 906 | 63% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 928 | 1029 | 36% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 984 | 1026 | 44% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1065 | 41% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1000 | 75% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2013-11-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 885 | 885 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 990 | 989 | 50% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 889 | 1052 | 28% | 2009-11-08 | Won |
| 1051 | 971 | 61% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1131 | 59% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1119 | 48% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 983 | 999 | 48% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1007 | 64% | 2004-02-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1024.6 vs 1017.6 has a 51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).