The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1044 | 969 | 61% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
955 | 1128 | 27% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
963 | 983 | 47% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
862 | 900 | 45% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
982 | 969 | 52% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
1249 | 964 | 84% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
875 | 1028 | 29% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
1284 | 979 | 85% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
1138 | 861 | 83% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
963 | 1138 | 27% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
1289 | 1022 | 82% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
1052 | 1307 | 19% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
1048 | 993 | 58% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
1025 | 907 | 66% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
1289 | 1202 | 62% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
1272 | 1030 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
976 | 1018 | 44% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
1068 | 1088 | 47% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1026.8 has a 54.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).