Bad Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1108 | 1023 | 62% | 2023-02-27 | Lost |
1009 | 1013 | 49% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
1244 | 1292 | 43% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
791 | 1039 | 19% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
1225 | 1117 | 65% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
1081 | 954 | 68% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
1131 | 1058 | 60% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
991 | 1021 | 46% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
970 | 1242 | 17% | 2018-02-11 | Lost |
970 | 1242 | 17% | 2018-02-11 | Lost |
1207 | 936 | 83% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
1116 | 1168 | 43% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
856 | 1090 | 21% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1078 | 960 | 66% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
1112 | 1018 | 63% | 2009-08-23 | Won |
1047 | 1135 | 38% | 2009-04-14 | Lost |
1103 | 1148 | 44% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
1014 | 1030 | 48% | 2008-01-27 | Won |
1114 | 1323 | 23% | 2007-09-07 | Lost |
1118 | 1398 | 17% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
934 | 994 | 41% | 2006-10-14 | Lost |
1097 | 1027 | 60% | 2006-06-23 | Lost |
986 | 1027 | 44% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
1057 | 1032 | 54% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-08-08 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-08-07 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1098.4 has a 44.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).