A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (7 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1069 | 1102 | 45% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
986 | 1037 | 43% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
1003 | 977 | 54% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
958 | 1090 | 32% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1078 | 1021 | 58% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
955 | 1100 | 30% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1079.3 has a 42.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).