Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1064 | 1003 | 59% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
1211 | 954 | 81% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
1169 | 1225 | 42% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
1102 | 1127 | 46% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
986 | 1144 | 29% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
856 | 943 | 38% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
1031 | 1058 | 46% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
948 | 917 | 54% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
994 | 1135 | 31% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
993 | 1307 | 14% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
1080 | 1141 | 41% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
985 | 1228 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
1061 | 1025 | 55% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
980 | 1096 | 34% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
1033 | 1069 | 45% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.2 vs 1087 has a 43.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).