The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1067 | 52% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 1011 | 1020 | 49% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 964 | 957 | 51% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 914 | 56% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 1223 | 17% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1222 | 31% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1201 | 975 | 79% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1134 | 33% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1087 | 1053 | 55% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1044 | 59% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1153 | 1187 | 45% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1067.7 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).