The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1067 | 50% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 977 | 1019 | 44% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 920 | 1223 | 15% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1055 | 53% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1134 | 39% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1091 | 1053 | 55% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 1188 | 40% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1059.1 has a 48.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).