The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (18 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1158 | 35% | 2024-07-31 | Won |
| 1044 | 1050 | 49% | 2023-06-27 | Won |
| 948 | 1002 | 42% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1065 | 44% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
| 880 | 970 | 37% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-07-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 955 | 49% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1064 | 61% | 2017-09-11 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1193 | 61% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1274 | 967 | 85% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1022 | 968 | 58% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2013-03-10 | Won |
| 1183 | 1081 | 64% | 2008-04-12 | Won |
| 1097 | 1118 | 47% | 2005-10-08 | Tied |
| 982 | 931 | 57% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
| 931 | 1004 | 40% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
| 1063 | 982 | 61% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1028.9 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).