The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French / Norwegian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2023-06-27 | Won |
1014 | 989 | 54% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
1022 | 1029 | 49% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
773 | 1037 | 18% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-07-27 | Lost |
1014 | 970 | 56% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
1081 | 1046 | 55% | 2017-09-11 | Lost |
1330 | 1171 | 71% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
1330 | 995 | 87% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
1000 | 960 | 56% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2013-03-10 | Won |
1214 | 1080 | 68% | 2008-04-12 | Won |
1097 | 1103 | 49% | 2005-10-08 | Tied |
982 | 938 | 56% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
938 | 1004 | 41% | 2003-05-17 | Lost |
1057 | 982 | 61% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1018.2 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).