Bitter Defense at Otta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (British): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1079 | 49% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2024-04-10 | Won |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-04-07 | Won |
| 888 | 899 | 48% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1083 | 1093 | 49% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 986 | 1033 | 43% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 997.3 vs 993.3 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).