Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1096 | 943 | 71% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
1012 | 964 | 57% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
857 | 1016 | 29% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1009 | 1169 | 28% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
1211 | 1311 | 36% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
986 | 1037 | 43% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
985 | 887 | 64% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
1071 | 952 | 66% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
1094 | 943 | 70% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
1056 | 984 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
1063 | 904 | 71% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
1069 | 983 | 62% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
1118 | 938 | 74% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
1097 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
1285 | 1075 | 77% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
992 | 1069 | 39% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
959 | 1030 | 40% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1068.4 vs 1029.9 has a 55.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).