Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (24 on the archive and 94 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (British): 48
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1096 | 955 | 69% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
1429 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
780 | 1032 | 19% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1009 | 1168 | 29% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
1175 | 1327 | 29% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
954 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
1008 | 887 | 67% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
1060 | 952 | 65% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
1115 | 941 | 73% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
1056 | 984 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
1062 | 890 | 73% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
1083 | 983 | 64% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
1118 | 987 | 68% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
1097 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
1285 | 1142 | 69% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
992 | 1083 | 37% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
958 | 1030 | 40% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1041.7 has a 53.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).