The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1101 | 38% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 961 | 958 | 50% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 955 | 974 | 47% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1007 | 74% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1009 | 52% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1010 | 978 | 55% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 920 | 65% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 960 | 877 | 62% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 926 | 1048 | 33% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1118 | 37% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1001 | 75% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1137 | 1116 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 970 | 881 | 63% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 955 | 1019 | 41% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 978 | 1142 | 28% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1077 | 54% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1019 | 68% | 2007-03-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1034 | 59% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1045 | 1030 | 52% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 986 | 61% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 958 | 62% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1012.6 has a 54.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).