Smashing the 3rd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
1039 | 784 | 81% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
1032 | 1018 | 52% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
934 | 1109 | 27% | 2016-10-25 | Lost |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
939 | 986 | 43% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
1073 | 985 | 62% | 2013-03-03 | Won |
1088 | 1069 | 53% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
994 | 939 | 58% | 2007-03-18 | Won |
1037 | 998 | 56% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
1149 | 1075 | 60% | 2005-09-03 | Lost |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1035.9 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).