Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (14 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
972 | 961 | 52% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
1192 | 1168 | 53% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
950 | 1284 | 13% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
954 | 1037 | 38% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
950 | 1144 | 25% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
1138 | 1087 | 57% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
1083 | 955 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1032.9 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).