Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 961 | 872 | 63% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
| 999 | 938 | 59% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1079 | 697 | 90% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 964 | 1037 | 40% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 1195 | 30% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1160 | 983 | 73% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1114 | 1050 | 59% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1032 | 55% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1138 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 1032.2 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).