Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
972 | 948 | 53% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
1192 | 1169 | 53% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
950 | 1283 | 13% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
1055 | 702 | 88% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
986 | 1037 | 43% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
1105 | 1138 | 45% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
1069 | 956 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1039.5 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).