Urban Guerillas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 431 (67 on the archive and 364 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 236
Defender wins (German (SS)): 195
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1112 | 1135 | 47% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
1030 | 1044 | 48% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
1056 | 823 | 79% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
1187 | 948 | 80% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
1078 | 1025 | 58% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
1178 | 1158 | 53% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
964 | 1289 | 13% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
1111 | 1031 | 61% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
1163 | 1058 | 65% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
1105 | 1298 | 25% | 2020-02-28 | Lost |
960 | 1284 | 13% | 2019-07-14 | Lost |
970 | 906 | 59% | 2018-10-08 | Lost |
944 | 933 | 52% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
1055 | 925 | 68% | 2017-10-10 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-04-04 | Won |
825 | 847 | 47% | 2016-02-02 | Won |
1044 | 1034 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
967 | 922 | 56% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
1035 | 911 | 67% | 2014-12-01 | Won |
1017 | 999 | 53% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
983 | 1081 | 36% | 2014-09-10 | Lost |
1081 | 983 | 64% | 2014-08-20 | Won |
1093 | 969 | 67% | 2014-07-23 | Won |
1068 | 1125 | 42% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
1142 | 977 | 72% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
951 | 954 | 50% | 2013-04-27 | Won |
1067 | 887 | 74% | 2012-12-31 | Lost |
964 | 1025 | 41% | 2012-09-22 | Won |
1104 | 914 | 75% | 2012-08-13 | Won |
1046 | 1096 | 43% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
1107 | 817 | 84% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
1096 | 1046 | 57% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
1008 | 1089 | 39% | 2011-02-11 | Won |
1047 | 1167 | 33% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
913 | 1158 | 20% | 2009-09-13 | Lost |
1090 | 1397 | 15% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2007-08-16 | Won |
1075 | 1096 | 47% | 2006-06-26 | Lost |
1150 | 1397 | 19% | 2006-05-13 | Lost |
1022 | 1307 | 16% | 2006-04-14 | Won |
1307 | 1285 | 53% | 2006-04-13 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-02-10 | Won |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2006-01-10 | Won |
1032 | 1046 | 48% | 2005-11-11 | Won |
1096 | 980 | 66% | 2005-08-25 | Won |
1064 | 992 | 60% | 2005-05-07 | Lost |
1000 | 996 | 51% | 2005-02-05 | Won |
1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2005-02-05 | Won |
961 | 1228 | 18% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
920 | 937 | 48% | 2004-02-08 | Won |
847 | 992 | 30% | 2002-12-05 | Won |
864 | 1068 | 24% | 2001-04-01 | Lost |
1018 | 989 | 54% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
1062 | 1068 | 49% | 2000-10-28 | Won |
1039 | 1048 | 49% | 2000-10-27 | Won |
1227 | 1097 | 68% | 2000-02-05 | Won |
1000 | 790 | 77% | 1999-12-05 | Lost |
1102 | 1153 | 43% | 1999-03-21 | Lost |
980 | 1087 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Lost |
1102 | 1006 | 63% | | Won |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1058.3 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).