Urban Guerillas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 416 (57 on the archive and 359 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 233
Defender wins (German (SS)): 183
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
1152 | 947 | 76% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
1177 | 1157 | 53% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
1010 | 1327 | 14% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
1109 | 1030 | 61% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
1159 | 1034 | 67% | 2020-06-16 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
1105 | 1292 | 25% | 2020-02-28 | Lost |
959 | 1284 | 13% | 2019-07-14 | Lost |
970 | 906 | 59% | 2018-10-08 | Lost |
938 | 952 | 48% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
1055 | 927 | 68% | 2017-10-10 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-04-04 | Won |
825 | 847 | 47% | 2016-02-02 | Won |
967 | 922 | 56% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
1036 | 911 | 67% | 2014-12-01 | Won |
1017 | 999 | 53% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
984 | 1081 | 36% | 2014-09-10 | Lost |
1081 | 984 | 64% | 2014-08-20 | Won |
1115 | 989 | 67% | 2014-07-23 | Won |
1069 | 1135 | 41% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
1151 | 954 | 76% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
952 | 976 | 47% | 2013-04-27 | Won |
1068 | 889 | 74% | 2012-12-31 | Lost |
1010 | 1013 | 50% | 2012-09-22 | Won |
1095 | 914 | 74% | 2012-08-13 | Won |
1046 | 1096 | 43% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
1096 | 1046 | 57% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
1093 | 1089 | 51% | 2011-02-11 | Won |
1108 | 1153 | 44% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
913 | 1157 | 20% | 2009-09-13 | Lost |
1098 | 1360 | 18% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2007-08-16 | Won |
1074 | 1096 | 47% | 2006-06-26 | Lost |
1150 | 1360 | 23% | 2006-05-13 | Lost |
1226 | 1307 | 39% | 2006-04-14 | Won |
1307 | 1287 | 53% | 2006-04-13 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-02-10 | Won |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2006-01-10 | Won |
1032 | 1046 | 48% | 2005-11-11 | Won |
1096 | 980 | 66% | 2005-08-25 | Won |
1063 | 992 | 60% | 2005-05-07 | Lost |
992 | 1096 | 35% | 2005-02-05 | Won |
992 | 997 | 49% | 2005-02-05 | Won |
961 | 1227 | 18% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
920 | 987 | 40% | 2004-02-08 | Won |
847 | 992 | 30% | 2002-12-05 | Won |
994 | 989 | 51% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
1039 | 1062 | 47% | 2000-10-27 | Won |
1227 | 1142 | 62% | 2000-02-05 | Won |
992 | 796 | 76% | 1999-12-05 | Lost |
981 | 1063 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1059.6 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).