The Waterhole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Japanese): 3
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
867 | 954 | 38% | 2023-10-13 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-12-02 | Lost |
959 | 1075 | 34% | 2002-01-28 | Won |
1075 | 1148 | 40% | 2002-01-17 | Lost |
1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1018.4 vs 1041.7 has a 46.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).