Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1108 | 54% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 947 | 63% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 862 | 1149 | 16% | 2006-04-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 947 | 59% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1178 | 1052 | 67% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-05-17 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 834 | 76% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1025 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).