Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
954 | 974 | 47% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
1283 | 1154 | 68% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
1283 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
1061 | 1030 | 54% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
1043 | 1078 | 45% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1047.4 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).