Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 31
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2024-01-26 | D | Won |
| 989 | 987 | 50% | 2022-03-03 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1110 | 65% | 2021-08-10 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1127 | 63% | 2021-08-09 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-01-26 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1035 | 52% | 2008-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2006-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1998-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-01-07 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 1998-01-02 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1997-08-31 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1058.5 has a 51.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).