Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 962 | 56% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
933 | 915 | 53% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
1124 | 1099 | 54% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
1039 | 1063 | 47% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
920 | 974 | 42% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
1008 | 989 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
964 | 1100 | 31% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
1091 | 943 | 70% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
963 | 1149 | 26% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
957 | 952 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
957 | 1012 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2008-05-14 | Won |
1019 | 962 | 58% | 2005-03-13 | Won |
986 | 1057 | 40% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
972 | 1069 | 36% | 1999-05-07 | Lost |
1066 | 1063 | 50% | 1999-02-01 | Won |
1075 | 977 | 64% | 1997-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1004.9 vs 1011.9 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).