The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 932 | 74% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 952 | 971 | 47% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1203 | 25% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 923 | 69% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 929 | 66% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 954 | 1048 | 37% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 872 | 938 | 41% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 1033 | 30% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 869 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1203 | 873 | 87% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1010 | 53% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 1024 | 913 | 65% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 945 | 1009 | 41% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1012 | 932 | 61% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1104 | 66% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1013 | 1024 | 48% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1169 | 25% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1012 | 67% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1000.3 has a 55.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).