The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 952 | 946 | 51% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1218 | 23% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1007 | 77% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1107 | 971 | 69% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 953 | 62% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 885 | 920 | 45% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 948 | 41% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 868 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1218 | 873 | 88% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1019 | 49% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 966 | 1056 | 37% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1063 | 932 | 68% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1127 | 40% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 979 | 1118 | 31% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1063 | 60% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1004.8 has a 53.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).