In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41
Attacker wins (French): 15
Defender wins (German): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1068 | 1018 | 57% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
979 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
936 | 954 | 47% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
972 | 1080 | 35% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
1110 | 1211 | 36% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
954 | 1211 | 19% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
954 | 1073 | 34% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
1028 | 1311 | 16% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
994 | 989 | 51% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
964 | 978 | 48% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
964 | 1138 | 27% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
964 | 1138 | 27% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
964 | 961 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
1100 | 964 | 69% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
1000 | 931 | 60% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
1048 | 1177 | 32% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
1246 | 1048 | 76% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
1109 | 960 | 70% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
1133 | 1094 | 56% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
1097 | 1283 | 26% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
1094 | 985 | 65% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
878 | 979 | 36% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
983 | 1030 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
1030 | 983 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
972 | 1017 | 44% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
988 | 988 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
1092 | 1228 | 31% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
1103 | 1018 | 62% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
1030 | 1006 | 53% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
1059 | 1030 | 54% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
1001 | 1019 | 47% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
1069 | 929 | 69% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
959 | 1075 | 34% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
1075 | 959 | 66% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1053.9 has a 46.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).