The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 4
Defender wins (Vichy French): 1
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-09-17 | Won |
873 | 1016 | 31% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
892 | 1069 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 984.3 vs 1043.2 has a 41.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).