The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 5
Defender wins (Vichy French): 2
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-09-17 | Won |
| 998 | 1021 | 47% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1012 | 66% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
| 1344 | 952 | 91% | 2000-11-26 | Won |
| 1049 | 1080 | 46% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 894 | 1019 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1024.5 has a 54.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).