Faugh A Ballagh!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1083 | 32% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
954 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-03-05 | Won |
1039 | 1003 | 55% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
964 | 1012 | 43% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
1064 | 930 | 68% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
1040 | 993 | 57% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
1211 | 954 | 81% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
954 | 1096 | 31% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
1169 | 917 | 81% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
1031 | 1142 | 35% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
1013 | 1003 | 51% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
1114 | 931 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-08-18 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2014-06-19 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-05-28 | Won |
1090 | 964 | 67% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
952 | 952 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
1003 | 992 | 52% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
919 | 1003 | 38% | 2008-12-29 | Lost |
977 | 1307 | 13% | 2007-05-13 | Won |
1307 | 901 | 91% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
1307 | 1287 | 53% | 2006-03-03 | Lost |
1019 | 962 | 58% | 2004-03-28 | Won |
1228 | 1086 | 69% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
1030 | 965 | 59% | 2002-09-11 | Won |
1075 | 977 | 64% | 1997-06-04 | Won |
1069 | 929 | 69% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1030.4 has a 53.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).