First Day of Diadem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Free French): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
989 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
940 | 1032 | 37% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
840 | 825 | 52% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
1023 | 1014 | 51% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
1225 | 1094 | 68% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
1078 | 702 | 90% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
907 | 1022 | 34% | 2010-06-16 | Won |
1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-04-26 | Lost |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2006-10-23 | Lost |
1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2006-06-14 | Won |
959 | 1037 | 39% | 2003-11-30 | Won |
1033 | 1057 | 47% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
1103 | 856 | 81% | 1995-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1011.6 vs 1003 has a 51.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).