A Surprise Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Finnish): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-09-29 | Lost |
1003 | 954 | 57% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
872 | 1018 | 30% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
985 | 1014 | 46% | 2020-06-29 | Won |
1013 | 1003 | 51% | 2019-07-05 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-03-22 | Lost |
972 | 1003 | 46% | 2011-04-10 | Lost |
1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
986 | 1055 | 40% | 2003-08-16 | Won |
1075 | 1273 | 24% | 2003-01-09 | Lost |
1030 | 959 | 60% | 2003-01-06 | Lost |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 1997-01-22 | Lost |
1053 | 1069 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1019.7 vs 1045 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).