Fighting Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1014 | 46% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 998 | 54% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1083 | 38% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 963 | 1052 | 37% | 2002-10-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 999 | 51% | 2002-08-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 1044 | 41% | 2002-07-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 1996-04-25 | Lost |
| 845 | 1074 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 976.6 vs 1029.2 has a 42.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).