Mike Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 16
Defender wins (German): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 1150 | 37% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1208 | 31% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 929 | 67% | 2020-01-20 | Won |
| 929 | 1050 | 33% | 2019-12-30 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1039 | 61% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
| 975 | 1183 | 23% | 2011-08-14 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1040 | 68% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1142 | 964 | 74% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1013 | 54% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1013 | 54% | 1998-01-07 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1012 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1062.4 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).