Prelude to Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (4 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
1105 | 1281 | 27% | 2008-07-20 | Lost |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2003-09-07 | Lost |
1142 | 958 | 74% | 1996-07-16 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1104 has a 42.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).