Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 11
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
1002 | 1010 | 49% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
815 | 857 | 44% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
1283 | 1135 | 70% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
1016 | 917 | 64% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
1003 | 973 | 54% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
872 | 1011 | 31% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
1149 | 880 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
1105 | 976 | 68% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
928 | 1030 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1037 | 59% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
1147 | 1075 | 60% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
1069 | 956 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1029 vs 1010.3 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).