Chateau de Quesnoy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (12 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (French): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1025 | 49% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1092 | 955 | 69% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1063 | 50% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1092 | 77% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 1083 | 46% | 2009-09-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1096 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1096 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 939 | 1037 | 36% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2004-09-26 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1057 | 53% | 2001-10-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1993-11-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1043.8 has a 52.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).