Sicilian Midnight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (6 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (Italian): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
861 | 943 | 38% | 2016-06-08 | Lost |
917 | 1016 | 36% | 2015-09-19 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2010-05-03 | Won |
870 | 1069 | 24% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 962.5 vs 1033.3 has a 39.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).