Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46
Attacker wins (Japanese): 27
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1073 | 1068 | 51% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
1147 | 1016 | 68% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
932 | 1157 | 21% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
926 | 1147 | 22% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
857 | 1008 | 30% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
1019 | 1014 | 51% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
1063 | 1211 | 30% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
1050 | 1138 | 38% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
1051 | 985 | 59% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
1016 | 964 | 57% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
1090 | 1133 | 44% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
1014 | 991 | 53% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
1127 | 932 | 75% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
1030 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
971 | 1307 | 13% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
1050 | 943 | 65% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
1109 | 1015 | 63% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
936 | 1068 | 32% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
1044 | 1019 | 54% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
819 | 937 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
937 | 982 | 44% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
1227 | 1019 | 77% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
1138 | 968 | 73% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
1119 | 1016 | 64% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
1096 | 1074 | 53% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
957 | 952 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
1073 | 1096 | 47% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
1003 | 955 | 57% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
1019 | 1285 | 18% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
994 | 919 | 61% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
1075 | 1011 | 59% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
1071 | 1075 | 49% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
1138 | 1089 | 57% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
991 | 1069 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1047.2 has a 47.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).