Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 376 (46 on the archive and 330 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 217
Defender wins (Chinese): 159
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1088 | 1012 | 61% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
932 | 1157 | 21% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
1210 | 1175 | 55% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
780 | 1008 | 21% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
994 | 1014 | 47% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
1062 | 1175 | 34% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
1058 | 1087 | 46% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
1015 | 1013 | 50% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
1095 | 1133 | 45% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
1027 | 991 | 55% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
1127 | 932 | 75% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
1030 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
971 | 1307 | 13% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
1058 | 959 | 64% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
1109 | 1016 | 63% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
1175 | 987 | 75% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
936 | 1068 | 32% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
1044 | 994 | 57% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
819 | 937 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
937 | 982 | 44% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
1228 | 1019 | 77% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
1087 | 968 | 66% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
1135 | 1015 | 67% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
957 | 952 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
1088 | 1096 | 49% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
987 | 955 | 55% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
994 | 1285 | 16% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
992 | 919 | 60% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
1142 | 1011 | 68% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
1087 | 1082 | 51% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
991 | 1083 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1043.9 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).