Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (31 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2023-10-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 960 | 75% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 878 | 78% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1186 | 61% | 2019-08-28 | Won |
| 969 | 959 | 51% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1043 | 920 | 67% | 2018-08-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 964 | 63% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
| 1251 | 1421 | 27% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 1108 | 972 | 69% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 955 | 58% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
| 984 | 756 | 79% | 2015-02-25 | Won |
| 756 | 984 | 21% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1141 | 48% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1030 | 995 | 55% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 1062 | 46% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 919 | 66% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1137 | 36% | 2007-06-12 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1093 | 54% | 2005-10-16 | Won |
| 1056 | 957 | 64% | 2005-05-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 1019 | 56% | 2004-06-14 | Won |
| 1233 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 1233 | 34% | 2004-03-12 | Lost |
| 1263 | 978 | 84% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 998 | 1065 | 40% | 2000-12-03 | Lost |
| 964 | 1079 | 34% | 1999-05-05 | Lost |
| 876 | 1079 | 24% | 1998-04-28 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1159 | 40% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 866 | 1159 | 16% | 1995-07-05 | Lost |
| 955 | 984 | 46% | 1993-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1030.9 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).