Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
857 | 1022 | 28% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
1109 | 895 | 77% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
1102 | 1083 | 53% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
1094 | 1000 | 63% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
1004 | 943 | 59% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
1025 | 1158 | 32% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
1068 | 1005 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
1003 | 1078 | 39% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.3 vs 1018.6 has a 50.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).