Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 888 | 1015 | 32% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 965 has a 59.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).