ASL Scenario Archive

Lash Out

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (German): 19

Defender wins (American / British): 20

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
951	948	50%	2026-05-03	Lost
893	1218	13%	2024-06-23	Lost
1218	1017	76%	2024-06-21	Won
1218	1244	46%	2024-06-20	Won
1228	1228	50%	2024-04-08	Won
1139	1139	50%	2024-03-10	Lost
1139	1139	50%	2024-02-25	Lost
1047	1018	54%	2023-11-09	Lost
1017	939	61%	2023-09-08	Lost
1025	1017	51%	2022-12-21	Won
1088	1088	50%	2022-10-30	Lost
1102	986	66%	2021-09-29	Won
1029	1018	52%	2021-09-05	Won
1143	1108	55%	2021-03-25	Won
1076	808	82%	2021-02-04	Won
1007	928	61%	2020-12-24	Lost
916	1079	28%	2020-04-03	Lost
1198	1108	63%	2020-02-29	Won
951	1059	35%	2020-01-17	Won
1219	1171	57%	2017-09-13	Won
905	1007	36%	2017-05-18	Lost
951	1002	43%	2016-09-23	Lost
965	984	47%	2015-07-03	Won
1088	1088	50%	2013-03-24	Lost
1018	1101	38%	2013-03-16	Lost
974	974	50%	2009-07-20	Won
1125	1045	61%	2009-05-22	Lost
1136	1006	68%	2006-10-27	Won
1050	1101	43%	2005-10-16	Lost
613	1101	6%	2004-11-07	Lost
1030	1076	43%	2001-07-08	Lost
1026	1026	50%	1999-11-10	Won
1342	919	92%	1999-01-16	Won
1109	978	68%	1997-01-16	Won
1102	1109	49%	1995-10-05	Won
939	1101	28%	1993-08-11	Won
984	965	53%	1991-12-03	Lost
1078	1000	61%		Lost
1078	833	80%		Lost

Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1043 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).