Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 526 (60 on the archive and 466 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 254
Defender wins (German): 271
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 920 | 72% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1036 | 52% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 976 | 67% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 837 | 982 | 30% | 2022-04-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 992 | 44% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 1149 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 987 | 1107 | 33% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1062 | 908 | 71% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 1062 | 1053 | 51% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 1065 | 47% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-09-09 | Won |
| 1019 | 990 | 54% | 2017-05-29 | Won |
| 1012 | 907 | 65% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 907 | 69% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 938 | 1158 | 22% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
| 907 | 1013 | 35% | 2016-01-15 | Lost |
| 849 | 1140 | 16% | 2015-08-31 | Won |
| 1049 | 1056 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2014-11-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1056 | 61% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1034 | 1022 | 52% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 1310 | 942 | 89% | 2014-05-22 | Won |
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2014-05-08 | Won |
| 919 | 977 | 42% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 978 | 948 | 54% | 2013-04-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
| 902 | 880 | 53% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1310 | 1190 | 67% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 980 | 62% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
| 919 | 977 | 42% | 2010-05-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1046 | 49% | 2009-10-20 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1126 | 39% | 2009-05-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 909 | 63% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
| 1047 | 966 | 61% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-10-04 | Lost |
| 989 | 1030 | 44% | 2008-08-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2007-11-13 | Lost |
| 832 | 1135 | 15% | 2006-06-26 | Lost |
| 917 | 1100 | 26% | 2006-05-02 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1099 | 41% | 2005-09-19 | Won |
| 948 | 1148 | 24% | 2005-08-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 966 | 55% | 2004-10-31 | Lost |
| 931 | 903 | 54% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
| 1118 | 962 | 71% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 993 | 983 | 51% | 2000-01-27 | Lost |
| 866 | 1063 | 24% | 1998-09-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-06-08 | Lost |
| 977 | 1118 | 31% | 1997-11-11 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1000 | 66% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
| 1118 | 1000 | 66% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1992-09-15 | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | | Lost |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1027.7 vs 1015.6 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).