King's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 983 | 1063 | 39% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-02-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 833 | 88% | 2003-03-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1175 | 25% | 1994-09-25 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1062.2 has a 49.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).