Beachhead at Ozereyka Bay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (Romanian / German): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Romanian / German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 962 | 61% | 2023-09-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1086 | 39% | 2023-02-05 | Won |
| 1092 | 903 | 75% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 964 | 1167 | 24% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 910 | 936 | 46% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 958 | 1000 | 44% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
| 1006 | 990 | 52% | 2004-12-23 | Won |
| 951 | 912 | 56% | 1995-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 990.8 vs 994.5 has a 49.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).