Cold Crocodiles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55
Attacker wins (British): 24
Defender wins (German): 30
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 1061 | 938 | 67% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 938 | 1015 | 39% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1055 | 52% | 2023-04-30 | Lost |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 966 | 73% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 959 | 804 | 71% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 924 | 62% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1219 | 1098 | 67% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1022 | 59% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 1029 | 41% | 2020-09-10 | Won |
| 788 | 1029 | 20% | 2020-09-09 | Won |
| 1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 923 | 69% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1001 | 62% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1225 | 22% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1083 | 47% | 2019-03-08 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1036 | 51% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 953 | 1216 | 18% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1097 | 978 | 66% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1302 | 23% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-08-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 889 | 73% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1083 | 54% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1114 | 1039 | 61% | 2011-05-17 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1088 | 60% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
| 1150 | 913 | 80% | 2009-09-21 | Won |
| 1008 | 952 | 58% | 2009-07-31 | Won |
| 1176 | 975 | 76% | 2009-06-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 1143 | 42% | 2008-12-31 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2007-08-21 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1218 | 31% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 977 | 1405 | 8% | 2007-04-01 | Won |
| 1302 | 1046 | 81% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 997 | 63% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 1126 | 929 | 76% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2002-03-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1040 | 48% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 1080 | 1154 | 40% | 1999-10-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 984 | 54% | 1998-07-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 892 | 66% | 1998-01-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 988 | 80% | 1995-11-03 | Won |
| 1126 | 1169 | 44% | 1995-09-17 | Lost |
| 1208 | 881 | 87% | 1993-07-09 | Won |
| 1208 | 919 | 84% | 1993-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1035.7 has a 54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).