Back to School
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (13 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 88
Defender wins (Russian): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-12-31 | Won |
| 1025 | 957 | 60% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1042 | 48% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1238 | 957 | 83% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-02-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 899 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | Won |
| 1342 | 1194 | 70% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 992 | 74% | 1999-10-31 | Lost |
| 1051 | 887 | 72% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1051 | 867 | 74% | 1997-02-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1039 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1109.1 vs 989.6 has a 66.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).