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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (11 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 86
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1055 | 58% | 2021-12-31 | Won |
| 948 | 958 | 49% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 1077 | 32% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1274 | 958 | 86% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-02-08 | Lost |
| 1035 | 966 | 60% | 1999-10-31 | Lost |
| 1063 | 885 | 74% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1063 | 866 | 76% | 1997-02-04 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1138 | 36% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 982.8 has a 60.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).