Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (6 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
986 | 935 | 57% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
1097 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
919 | 992 | 40% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
992 | 850 | 69% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1005.3 vs 974 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).