Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
986 | 935 | 57% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
1097 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
919 | 994 | 39% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
994 | 895 | 64% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1000.7 vs 984.2 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).