Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 932 | 74% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1033 | 43% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1049 | 1223 | 27% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 986 | 925 | 59% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 918 | 1010 | 37% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 841 | 73% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1002 has a 53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).