Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (23 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 44
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1284 | 28% | 2025-07-31 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1009 | 46% | 2023-04-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2021-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1138 | 977 | 72% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-10-08 | | Won |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2015-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2014-06-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2011-10-29 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2011-09-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2011-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2010-09-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-01-11 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1062 | 54% | 2008-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2006-07-15 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2006-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 976 | 82% | 2002-12-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 1999-11-13 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 1999-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1999-06-30 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1059 | 29% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1050.6 vs 1043.7 has a 51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).