Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1117 | 1131 | 48% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
976 | 955 | 53% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
882 | 960 | 39% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
1051 | 954 | 64% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
1114 | 1009 | 65% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
941 | 980 | 44% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
1094 | 1115 | 47% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
877 | 963 | 38% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
1091 | 963 | 68% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
991 | 1117 | 33% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1010 | 1057 | 43% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
1021 | 1056 | 45% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
1081 | 987 | 63% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
915 | 896 | 53% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
892 | 1057 | 28% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
934 | 900 | 55% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
1323 | 977 | 88% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
1014 | 1023 | 49% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
1158 | 1045 | 66% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
1146 | 976 | 73% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
1093 | 1112 | 47% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
1090 | 958 | 68% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
964 | 934 | 54% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
931 | 1047 | 34% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
1147 | 1228 | 39% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
1131 | 1021 | 65% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
887 | 938 | 43% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
986 | 938 | 57% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
1057 | 834 | 78% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
1099 | 1103 | 49% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1031.9 vs 1017.4 has a 52.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).