Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1189 | 31% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 985 | 61% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 920 | 944 | 47% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 941 | 1173 | 21% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 955 | 58% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 907 | 74% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 994 | 980 | 52% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 877 | 937 | 41% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
| 1181 | 937 | 80% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 920 | 64% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1063 | 53% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 966 | 1040 | 40% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 963 | 73% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 897 | 52% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 948 | 900 | 57% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 892 | 1063 | 27% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1310 | 977 | 87% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 948 | 1053 | 35% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1154 | 51% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
| 1017 | 1044 | 46% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1034 | 48% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1125 | 975 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1111 | 36% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
| 1130 | 956 | 73% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 964 | 948 | 52% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 931 | 1056 | 33% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1228 | 39% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
| 944 | 966 | 47% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
| 1148 | 992 | 71% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 887 | 931 | 44% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
| 986 | 931 | 58% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1064 | 57% | 2000-06-03 | Won |
| 1063 | 1055 | 51% | 2000-05-26 | Lost |
| 1063 | 835 | 79% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1118 | 47% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1015.2 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).