Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 952 | 75% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 912 | 1148 | 20% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 937 | 1001 | 41% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 885 | 78% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2023-12-09 | Lost |
| 1003 | 809 | 75% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 902 | 1114 | 23% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1184 | 1090 | 63% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 936 | 72% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1142 | 964 | 74% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 1168 | 46% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1228 | 32% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1063 | 77% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1188 | 1138 | 57% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1063 | 53% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1001 | 64% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 985 | 59% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1099.1 vs 1027.3 has a 60.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).