Directive Number Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
995 | 1242 | 19% | 2017-07-30 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
1022 | 1307 | 16% | 2016-02-03 | Tied |
1037 | 986 | 57% | 2012-07-01 | Lost |
855 | 1090 | 21% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1074 | 1081 | 49% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
1141 | 1033 | 65% | 2007-11-11 | Won |
865 | 1069 | 24% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
943 | 1138 | 25% | 1998-06-13 | Lost |
1034 | 1228 | 25% | 1997-10-19 | Won |
1228 | 1013 | 78% | 1997-10-18 | Won |
1075 | 986 | 63% | 1997-04-19 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1092.4 has a 41.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).