L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (American): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 1155 | 22% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
1155 | 939 | 78% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
1171 | 1014 | 71% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
929 | 1000 | 40% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
929 | 1000 | 40% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
1018 | 1090 | 40% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
959 | 1283 | 13% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
1178 | 856 | 86% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
1323 | 1055 | 82% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
1330 | 967 | 89% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
882 | 1081 | 24% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
989 | 1030 | 44% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
1000 | 967 | 55% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
1047 | 1225 | 26% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
952 | 1099 | 30% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
887 | 963 | 39% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
963 | 933 | 54% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
1021 | 1047 | 46% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
1034 | 1047 | 48% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
992 | 1228 | 20% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
1143 | 1228 | 38% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
1228 | 1093 | 69% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
945 | 1074 | 32% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
1057 | 1064 | 49% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
947 | 938 | 51% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
1027 | 993 | 55% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
961 | 1001 | 44% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
854 | 994 | 31% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
1103 | 980 | 67% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
1164 | 1097 | 60% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1046.9 has a 48.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).