First to Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (8 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1081 | 1109 | 46% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
1006 | 1055 | 43% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
1040 | 1043 | 50% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2009-11-04 | Won |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-06-24 | Lost |
955 | 1311 | 11% | 2006-03-14 | Lost |
1097 | 939 | 71% | 2003-06-14 | Won |
1069 | 1008 | 59% | 1996-02-28 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1066.5 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).