A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Canadian): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1136 | 24% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1041 | 82% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1064 | 908 | 71% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1014 | 55% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1051 | 45% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 932 | 1023 | 37% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1223 | 36% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1169 | 32% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1003 | 85% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1045.8 has a 52.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).