The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Canadian): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 949 | 74% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1185 | 1107 | 61% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
| 1131 | 992 | 69% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
| 1162 | 1089 | 60% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1202 | 33% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1003 | 78% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1025 | 43% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1135 | 40% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 968 | 1038 | 40% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 885 | 69% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
| 1231 | 1214 | 52% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1025 | 1129 | 35% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2008-08-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1003 | 49% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1156 | 44% | 2006-01-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1084 | 45% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2003-05-13 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2003-03-12 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1077.3 vs 1053.8 has a 53.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).