The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Canadian): 5
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1074 | 952 | 67% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
1188 | 1063 | 67% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
1177 | 1019 | 71% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
1143 | 929 | 77% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
1036 | 1133 | 36% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
1211 | 1087 | 67% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
973 | 1003 | 46% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1014 | 67% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
1040 | 943 | 64% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
1307 | 1213 | 63% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
1003 | 985 | 53% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
1069 | 1077 | 49% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1113.3 vs 1034.8 has a 61.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).