The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (12 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 36
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1052 | 952 | 64% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
1189 | 1082 | 65% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
1155 | 994 | 72% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
1117 | 929 | 75% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
1018 | 1163 | 30% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
1166 | 1076 | 63% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
973 | 1204 | 21% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
1087 | 1015 | 60% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
1040 | 990 | 57% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
1314 | 1213 | 64% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
1204 | 1011 | 75% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
1063 | 1077 | 48% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1114.8 vs 1058.8 has a 57.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).